Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 9.118936 10.430613 11.877267 13.593261 15.576022 17.798358 20.482688
2025-09-07 7.587626 9.347748 11.447009 14.143605 17.527771 21.650028 27.076188
2025-09-14 6.544128 8.497370 10.960286 14.310189 18.773294 24.550300 32.652130
2025-09-21 5.732853 7.767429 10.451448 14.276761 19.630206 26.917096 37.691377
2025-09-28 5.066821 7.119184 9.933529 14.109473 20.208097 28.881186 42.313893
2025-10-05 4.726578 6.865469 9.904343 14.583864 21.692822 32.223238 49.255722
2025-10-12 4.412738 6.605225 9.822060 14.945936 23.016022 35.426517 56.321495
2025-10-19 4.183304 6.439527 9.850707 15.458998 24.597137 39.156497 64.621270
2025-10-26 3.776957 5.958162 9.343818 15.067517 24.677716 40.477514 69.066069
2025-11-02 3.465583 5.595094 8.983940 14.866968 25.031545 42.252860 74.447890
2025-11-09 3.200129 5.280612 8.670301 14.704526 25.417998 44.097454 80.128190
2025-11-16 2.958879 4.983955 8.357434 14.507265 25.711666 45.787891 85.688344
2025-11-23 2.722491 4.678893 8.009581 14.224826 25.840186 47.222034 90.996866
2025-11-30 2.648583 4.649493 8.135139 14.802626 27.605037 51.860677 103.123075
2025-12-07 2.518981 4.508844 8.049171 14.977500 28.617638 55.159646 112.938518
2025-12-14 2.371348 4.322502 7.863237 14.942408 29.211668 57.686998 121.438141
2025-12-21 2.218480 4.113728 7.617713 14.766797 29.502446 59.622253 128.885023
2025-12-28 2.163519 4.085336 7.709440 15.264806 31.213584 64.660744 143.819583
2026-01-04 2.097355 4.029535 7.742628 15.644940 32.712056 69.399812 158.674400
2026-01-11 2.052695 4.012052 7.848697 16.183647 34.601342 75.184691 176.737132
2026-01-18 1.909955 3.786984 7.520545 15.772594 34.360658 76.182596 183.335634
2026-01-25 1.798903 3.618337 7.294655 15.562030 34.547921 78.172937 192.648648
2026-02-01 1.700146 3.467918 7.095122 15.391485 34.808710 80.357788 202.734705